Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.004168 0.004382 0.004601 0.004843 0.005104 0.005376 0.005682
2025-10-05 0.003815 0.004133 0.004473 0.004865 0.005307 0.005793 0.006368
2025-10-12 0.003621 0.004003 0.004424 0.004924 0.005508 0.006172 0.006990
2025-10-19 0.003423 0.003842 0.004315 0.004891 0.005581 0.006389 0.007417
2025-10-26 0.003265 0.003712 0.004227 0.004866 0.005650 0.006592 0.007825
2025-11-02 0.003124 0.003592 0.004138 0.004830 0.005696 0.006759 0.008189
2025-11-09 0.003062 0.003560 0.004151 0.004913 0.005886 0.007110 0.008803
2025-11-16 0.002949 0.003459 0.004072 0.004874 0.005916 0.007253 0.009145
2025-11-23 0.002861 0.003384 0.004021 0.004866 0.005982 0.007441 0.009556
2025-11-30 0.002752 0.003279 0.003926 0.004795 0.005959 0.007506 0.009792
2025-12-07 0.002658 0.003187 0.003844 0.004737 0.005948 0.007583 0.010048
2025-12-14 0.002593 0.003131 0.003804 0.004730 0.006005 0.007755 0.010447
2025-12-21 0.002472 0.002999 0.003664 0.004586 0.005868 0.007648 0.010428
2025-12-28 0.002425 0.002962 0.003646 0.004605 0.005957 0.007868 0.010918
2026-01-04 0.002396 0.002946 0.003654 0.004659 0.006099 0.008169 0.011551
2026-01-11 0.002336 0.002887 0.003603 0.004629 0.006115 0.008284 0.011894
2026-01-18 0.002282 0.002835 0.003559 0.004606 0.006140 0.008412 0.012263
2026-01-25 0.002227 0.002780 0.003509 0.004572 0.006148 0.008511 0.012590
2026-02-01 0.002214 0.002781 0.003536 0.004649 0.006322 0.008877 0.013394
2026-02-08 0.002163 0.002729 0.003486 0.004613 0.006323 0.008968 0.013725
2026-02-15 0.002124 0.002692 0.003457 0.004606 0.006367 0.009129 0.014190
2026-02-22 0.002068 0.002630 0.003391 0.004540 0.006317 0.009133 0.014367
2026-03-01 0.002018 0.002575 0.003333 0.004486 0.006283 0.009161 0.014591